Incident Information - Texas A&M Forest Service

06/09/2026

Abnormally hot and dry conditions will remain confined to the High Plains this week, with temperatures exceeding 100°F forecast through Thursday (6/11). These above normal temperatures and low relative humidities will support moderate drying of surface fuels, which may result in a return to initial attack wildfire activity in cured grass fuels this week before cooler and moist conditions return this weekend. Fire potential will remain low, and any fires that occur should exhibit low resistance to control due to recent improvements in fuel moisture and herbaceous greenness.

Additional details are posted in the Texas Fire Potential Update at: https://bit.ly/TexasFirePotentialUpdate.

06/05/2026

Texas A&M Forest Service has lowered the Wildland Fire Preparedness Level to Level 1 as recent and forecast rainfall will increase fuel moisture and limit wildfire potential.

We continue to monitor the situation and stand ready to respond to any requests for assistance.

For more about Preparedness Levels, visit https://bit.ly/3BtPfhw

06/04/2026

The Texas Fire Potential Update at: https://bit.ly/TexasFirePotentialUpdate

The fire environment statewide will continue to support limited to low fire potential as fuel moisture remains near or above average. Recent observed rainfall is beginning to improve herbaceous greenness in the High Plains and Caprock Predictive Service Areas (PSA). There are no critical fire weather triggers or accelerated drying of surface fuels forecast.
An influx of Gulf moisture merging with low pressure from the southwest will generate multiple days of precipitation chances around the state. Portions of the northern High Plains PSA are forecast to have the lowest rainfall totals.
By Sunday, a hot and dry pattern returns across the High Plains, Caprock, and Rolling Plains with temperatures in the upper nineties to near 100º. Fuel moisture is forecast to be near normal, and recent improvements in herbaceous green up have reduced the footprint of cured grasses, keeping fire potential low through Monday. High pressure will build for the early part of next week keeping most of the state rain free and warmer than average.

The fire environment statewide will continue to support limited to low fire potential as fuel moisture remains near or above average. Recent observed rainfall is beginning to improve herbaceous greenness in the High Plains and Caprock Predictive Service Areas (PSA). There are no critical fire weather triggers or accelerated drying of surface fuels forecast.

An influx of Gulf moisture merging with low pressure from the southwest will generate multiple days of precipitation chances around the state. Portions of the northern High Plains PSA are forecast to have the lowest rainfall totals.

By Sunday, a hot and dry pattern returns across the High Plains, Caprock, and Rolling Plains with temperatures in the upper nineties to near 100º. Fuel moisture is forecast to be near normal, and recent improvements in herbaceous green up have reduced the footprint of cured grasses, keeping fire potential low through Monday. High pressure will build for the early part of next week keeping most of the state rain free and warmer than average. Additional details are posted in the Texas Fire Potential Update at: https://bit.ly/TexasFirePotentialUpdate.

05/28/2026

The Texas Fire Potential Update is posted at: https://bit.ly/TexasFirePotentialUpdate

The fire environment will continue to support limited initial attack fire potential as recent rainfall has increased surface moisture and improved fuel dryness. Through the outlook a limited active weather pattern will produce isolated precipitation chances for the state and no strong fire weather trigger is forecast.

The High Plains, Caprock, and Trans Pecos Predictive Services Areas (PSAs) have seen improvements in dead & live fuel moisture with the increased frequency of isolated to scattered rainfall. Increased surface moisture from recent rainfall will keep initial attack potential limited to low and resistance to control low if a fire does occur. Through the weekend and into early next week warm and dry conditions are forecast over these PSAs. However, no strong fire weather or accelerated drying is expected which will keep potential for a large or significant fire with high resistance to control limited.

The Texas Fire Potential Update is posted at: https://bit.ly/TexasFirePotentialUpdate

Incident Information - Texas A&M Forest Service

The fire environment will continue to support limited initial attack fire potential as recent rainfall has increased surface moisture and improved fuel dryness. Through the outlook a limited active weather pattern will produce isolated precipitation chances for the state and no strong fire weather trigger is forecast.

The High Plains, Caprock, and Trans Pecos Predictive Services Areas (PSAs) have seen improvements in dead & live fuel moisture with the increased frequency of isolated to scattered rainfall. Increased surface moisture from recent rainfall will keep initial attack potential limited to low and resistance to control low if a fire does occur. Through the weekend and into early next week warm and dry conditions are forecast over these PSAs. However, no strong fire weather or accelerated drying is expected which will keep potential for a large or significant fire with high resistance to control limited.

05/26/2026

The Texas Fire Potential Update is posted at: https://bit.ly/TexasFirePotentialUpdate

The fire environment will continue to support limited initial attack fire potential as a more active spring weather pattern will produce more precipitation chances for the state and no fire weather trigger is forecast.

The High Plains, Caprock, and Trans Pecos Predictive Services Areas (PSAs) have seen improvements in fuel moisture from recent rainfall and herbaceous fuels should respond by transitioning to green within the next few weeks. More thunderstorm activity is anticipated across these areas. Rainfall is expected with these storms, reducing the potential for lightning ignitions. The Trans Pecos PSA will maintain low potential for lightning ignitions, however, improving fuel moistures should keep any fires that do occur small.

Wind speeds are forecast to remain below 20mph statewide, with minimum relative humidity values staying above critical values. As the week progresses, wind speeds remain below 20mph and minimum relative humidity values below 20% will be isolated to the Trans Pecos and along the western state line.

The Texas Fire Potential Update is posted at: https://bit.ly/TexasFirePotentialUpdate

Incident Information - Texas A&M Forest Service

The fire environment will continue to support limited initial attack fire potential as a more active spring weather pattern will produce more precipitation chances for the state and no fire weather trigger is forecast.

The High Plains, Caprock, and Trans Pecos Predictive Services Areas (PSAs) have seen improvements in fuel moisture from recent rainfall and herbaceous fuels should respond by transitioning to green within the next few weeks. More thunderstorm activity is anticipated across these areas. Rainfall is expected with these storms, reducing the potential for lightning ignitions. The Trans Pecos PSA will maintain low potential for lightning ignitions, however, improving fuel moistures should keep any fires that do occur small.

Wind speeds are forecast to remain below 20mph statewide, with minimum relative humidity values staying above critical values. As the week progresses, wind speeds remain below 20mph and minimum relative humidity values below 20% will be isolated to the Trans Pecos and along the western state line.

05/22/2026

Texas A&M Forest Service has lowered the Wildland Fire Preparedness Level to Level 2 as recent and forecast rainfall will increase fuel moisture and limit wildfire potential.

We continue to monitor the situation and stand ready to respond to any requests for assistance.

For more about Preparedness Levels, visit https://bit.ly/3BtPfhw

05/22/2026

As we head into Memorial Day weekend, fire potential will continue to decrease thanks to increasing moisture and precipitation chances across the state.

While thunderstorms are in the forecast, they are anticipated to be accompanied by rainfall, limiting the potential for lightning ignitions. Wind speeds are expected to largely remain below 20 mph statewide and minimum relative humidity levels are expected to be well above critical values.

Our personnel remain ready to respond to new requests for assistance statewide.

🚨 Stay wildfire aware! If you see smoke or a wildfire, call 911 immediately.
📍 Active Fire Map: https://public.tfswildfires.com
📱 Incident Updates on X: https://x.com/AllHazardsTFS
🌐 Additional Updates on InciWeb: https://inciweb.wildfire.gov/

📸 Smoke shows in the distance from the Comanche Fire in Motley County on May 16, 2026. Photo courtesy of A. McCrady. Credit: Texas A&M Forest Service.

05/19/2026

Wildfire Update - May 19, 2026, 6:15 PM

Texas A&M Forest Service wildland firefighters and all assigned resources continue suppression efforts on wildfires burning across the state, including the 1,551-acre Kress Fire in Swisher County and the 2,570-acre Stinky Fire in Potter County.

Since Thursday, May 14, local and state firefighters have worked tirelessly to contain a surge of wildfires that ignited across Texas, primarily due to lightning. Wildfire potential is expected to decrease through the rest of the week and into the weekend.

Our personnel remain on standby to respond to new requests for assistance statewide.

🚨 Stay wildfire aware! If you see smoke or a wildfire, call 911 immediately.

📍 Active Fire Map: https://public.tfswildfires.com

📱 Incident Updates on X: https://x.com/AllHazardsTFS

🌐 Additional Updates on InciWeb: https://inciweb.wildfire.gov/

📸 A. McCrady, M. Mahurin, J. Rodriguez

05/18/2026

Texas A&M Forest Service is responding to the Stinky Fire in Potter County. The fire is an estimated 500 acres and 0% contained. Mandatory evacuations are in place. Listen to warnings from local officials.

May 18th @ 5:05 PM: A new fire warning has been issued for the Stinky Fire in western Potter county. The speed of the fire has increased due to the strong winds. The forward movement of the fire spread may be up to 10 mph.

🚨 Stay wildfire aware! If you see smoke or a wildfire, call 911 immediately.
📍 Active Fire Map: https://public.tfswildfires.com
📱 Incident Updates on X: https://x.com/AllHazardsTFS
🌐 Additional Updates on InciWeb: https://inciweb.wildfire.gov/

*** THIS POST IS NOT LONGER VALID*** May 18th @ 5:05 PM: A new fire warning has been issued for the Stinky Fire in western Potter county. The speed of the fire has increased due to the strong winds. The forward movement of the fire spread may be up to 10 mph.

05/18/2026

The fire environment for Monday, May 18th, 2026 will support high potential for new initial attack fires across the High Plains and Caprock region of Texas when dry to locally extremely dry surface fuel is exposed to high end critical to extreme fire weather. There is moderate potential for large fires with high resistance to control. A cold front moving south from Oklahoma will produce a wind shift from the north during the evening and overnight hours.
Large, wind driven fires will outpace suppression efforts with rates of spread rates of 4+ mph likely.