06/29/2024
Saturday Beryl Thoughts and Hurricanes 101. Here are some reminders.
1. Track updates from the NHC come out every 6 hours. 11 am/pm and 5am/pm. Other advisories are issued, but track updates only 4 times a day.
2. I can only find 1 other time a hurricane has formed in this part of the ocean. (1933). So yeah, it's rare. Is it the new norm with warmer water? Guess only time will tell.
3. Beryl is small, and not expected to become a sprawling storm. So impacts on islands in the Windwards, as well as other potential spots, will likely be limited.
4. When you hear "maximum winds" with a storm, that is usually in a very small area. (Typically North and East of the Center and maybe 5-15 miles.) It isn't the entire wind field...not even close.
5. Models still keep this way to the South of Florida. Euro (right now) takes it to Central America and the GFS eventually brings it across the Yucatan.
6. Vacationers and cruisers will need to monitor, but again, this is a small (in terms of size) storm.
7. Rule #7. Nothing to freak out over at this time. Tropical systems are notorious for changes, and small systems are even more vulnerable to rapid change in track and intensity. Keep it here for reliable track information. Our team will be on it 24/7.
